Sunday, March 31, 2013

Economic myths

As I read mainstream economic news
stories, I see a few myths that are
repeated without any evidence.
Here's a few:
1) housing recovery is robust
Nope, the market is bouncing off the
bottom without any robust growth.
Average resale price has climbed 6%
last year mainly because fewer houses
were foreclosed.  And the slowdown in
floreclosures was the legal mess caused
by Fannie/Freddie promoting paper-less
mortgage trading and judges requiring
paper documents.
http://www.reuters.com/article/interactive/idUSBRE92Q0M420130327?view=small&type=gc03
2) the Fed is printing too much money
Nope, they injected lots of liquidity back
in 2009 but the money printing has been
relatively slow since then.  Plus velocity
of money has been slowing.
http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2013/03/the-fed-is-printing-money-but-where-is.html
3) companies are sitting on lots of cash
Nope, while the amount of cash is higher
it is not really out of historical ranges when
compared to overall corporate valuations
or debt levels.
http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/neeraj-chaudhary/2011/12/15/the-corporate-cash-myth

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